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Communicating Risk + Uncertainty – Prof Sir David Spiegelhalter
November 12 @ 6:00 pm - 7:30 pm
How do we think, and how do we feel about risk? We are faced with claims of both a reproducibility crisis in scientific publication, and of a ‘post-truth’ society, in which emotional responses dominate over balanced consideration of evidence. This presents a strong challenge to those who value quantitative and scientific evidence: how can we communicate risks and unavoidable scientific uncertainty in a transparent and trustworthy way? In this talk, Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter discusses the alternative verbal, numerical and graphical means of communicating uncertainty. Professor Spiegelhalter is a distinguished statistician and a born communicator, as seen in the BBC’s Tails You Win: The Science of Chance. He is currently the President of the Royal Statistical Society, and the Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk in the Statistical Laboratory at the University of Cambridge. The talk is £3 for non-members and free for non-members. You can become a member for £10 at the Freshers’ Fair or at the first talk of term (Dressed to Kill– Prof Sunetra Gupta), or for £12 at any other time (get your membership here).